1st May 2025
China’s Quiet Shift Away from US Debt
Ditching Treasuries for Safety: Worried about US sanctions (like Russia’s frozen assets), China is slowly selling off US Treasury bonds and buying gold, mortgage-backed securities, and short-term assets. Gold reserves jumped from 2% to 6% of total holdings since 2022.
Trump’s Tariffs Spook Beijing: Fear of a “Mar-a-Lago accord” (forcing Treasury swaps for risky bonds) and Trump’s trade war pushed China to diversify into European and Hong Kong-managed assets, but liquidity remains a hurdle.
Walking a Tightrope: China’s strategy-“agile maneuvering”-balances avoiding market panic with reducing US exposure. Experts warn full decoupling is impossible, but sticking with Treasuries risks total loss if tensions boil over.
Private Markets Retreat: China’s secretive investment arm, Rosewood, scaled back US tech deals amid scrutiny, reflecting broader caution in cross-border capital flows.
Musk vs. OpenAI: Legal Battle Over AI’s Future Heats Up
A California judge rejected OpenAI’s bid to dismiss Elon Musk’s lawsuit, allowing claims of fraud and breach of contract to proceed to trial in 2026.
Musk alleges OpenAI abandoned its non-profit mission to benefit humanity in favor of profit, citing its partnership with Microsoft and plans to become a for-profit entity.
The ruling hinges on whether an “implied contract” existed between Musk and OpenAI, with the judge noting Musk’s contributions were tied to promises of maintaining a non-profit structure.
The case highlights tensions over AI governance as Musk and OpenAI’s Sam Altman vie for dominance in shaping the technology’s ethical and commercial trajectory.
Standard Chartered Profits Rise Amid Trade War Jitters
Standard Chartered reported a 10% jump in Q1 pre-tax profits to $2.1 billion, driven by wealth management and foreign exchange swaps, but warned of looming risks from Trump’s tariffs.
CEO Bill Winters raised the bank’s modelled probability of a severe global trade war to 15%, which could stifle US and Chinese growth to under 1% annually for years.
The bank set aside $66 million for potential credit losses linked to trade disruptions and noted clients are reevaluating cross-border investments amid geopolitical fragmentation.
Despite optimism about China’s stimulus measures, executives cautioned that decades of globalisation are unravelling, creating a “more complex world” for international finance.
News written by Iskander Shyngyssov | Published by Zhangir Zhangaskin